Methodology
How we analyze, predict, and verify Bitcoin market data.
Data Sources
Price Data
We use real-time market data from CoinGecko and Binance. All price data is verified against multiple sources to ensure accuracy.
- β’ Primary: CoinGecko API
- β’ Secondary: Binance API
- β’ Update frequency: Every 30 minutes
Historical Data
Historical price data is stored in our database for verification purposes. We maintain a complete record of all predictions and actual market outcomes for transparency and accuracy tracking.
Indicator Methodology
Trend Index (30%)
Measures price position relative to key moving averages (20-day, 50-day) and trend strength using ADX (Average Directional Index).
Bearish: Price below 20-day MA with ADX > 25
Neutral: Price around MA or ADX < 25
RSI (14) (20%)
Relative Strength Index measures momentum on a scale of 0-100.
Bearish: RSI < 45 (not oversold)
Neutral: RSI between 45-55
MACD (20%)
Moving Average Convergence Divergence tracks trend changes using 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages.
Bearish: MACD line below signal line
Neutral: Crossover or convergence
Flow (15%)
Monitors exchange inflows and outflows as a proxy for market sentiment.
Bearish: Net inflows (selling pressure)
Neutral: Balanced flows
Volatility (15%)
Uses Bollinger Band width to identify volatility compression and expansion phases.
Bearish: Compression breakout downward
Neutral: Wide bands or no clear breakout
Verification Rules
How We Verify Predictions
A prediction is considered "correct" if the actual closing price falls within the predicted range during the 24-hour period.
We also track whether the market direction (up/down) matched our bias, even if the exact range was missed.
Predictions are verified daily at 08:00 UTC, comparing the previous day's prediction against the actual 24-hour price range.
Rolling accuracy is calculated over 7-day, 30-day, and 90-day periods. All-time accuracy tracks every prediction since platform launch.
Update Frequency
Automated analysis via Cloudflare Workers
24-hour forecast published every morning
Previous day's prediction verified and recorded
What We Do NOT Do
We analyze market structure, not trading decisions.
Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.
Every forecast remains publicly visible.
Our analysis is general market information only.
Disclaimer
Educational Purpose Only: The information provided on TrendXBit is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial advice, investment recommendations, or solicitation to buy or sell any cryptocurrency.
Risk Warning: Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Past performance and prediction accuracy do not guarantee future results. You should always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
No Liability: By using this website, you acknowledge that you understand these risks and agree that TrendXBit and its operators are not responsible for any financial losses incurred based on the information provided.
Not Financial Advice: Nothing on this website constitutes professional financial advice. We are not licensed financial advisors. All content is opinion-based analysis of publicly available market data.