Market Structure

Understanding how we analyze Bitcoin's market conditions.

Current Market Structure

Structure
Trending
Bias
Bullish
Consistency
72%
Last updated: 30 min ago

What is Market Structure?

Trending Market

A trending market shows clear directional movement over time. Price makes higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend).

  • â–¸Price above/below key moving averages
  • â–¸Strong directional momentum
  • â–¸Clear support/resistance levels

Ranging Market

A ranging (or consolidating) market moves sideways within a defined price range. Price oscillates between support and resistance without clear direction.

  • â–¸Price around moving averages
  • â–¸Weak or mixed momentum
  • â–¸Clear range boundaries

Risk Level Definitions

Low

Market structure is clear with strong trend confirmation. Multiple indicators align. Predictions have higher confidence.

Medium

Mixed signals or transitioning structure. Some indicators conflict. Predictions have moderate confidence.

High

Unclear structure or high volatility period. Indicators show conflicting signals. Predictions have lower confidence.

Indicator Composition

Indicator
Current
Weight
Signal
Description
Trend Index
Rising
30%
Bullish
Measures price position relative to 20-day moving average and trend strength.
RSI (14)
58.5
20%
Bullish
Relative Strength Index measures momentum. Above 50 indicates bullish momentum.
MACD
Positive
20%
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence tracks trend changes and momentum shifts.
Flow
Inflow
15%
Neutral
Monitors capital flows into and out of Bitcoin markets.
Volatility
Compressed
15%
Bullish
Bollinger Band width indicates volatility compression before potential breakout.

Consistency Score represents how many indicators align with the current market bias. A higher score (closer to 100%) indicates stronger conviction in our analysis.

Our algorithm weights indicators based on their historical reliability in identifying Bitcoin market structure. The complete algorithm is proprietary, but the components and their purposes are transparent.

Update Frequency

Market Structure
Every 30 Minutes

Real-time analysis based on current market conditions.

Daily Prediction
08:00 UTC Daily

24-hour price range prediction published every morning.

Verification
Daily at 08:00 UTC

Previous day's prediction verified and recorded.